Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 3.029794e-05 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000056 0.000065 0.000074
2025-05-25 2.218474e-05 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059 0.000072 0.000088
2025-06-01 1.717048e-05 0.000025 0.000034 0.000046 0.000061 0.000079 0.000100
2025-06-08 1.370451e-05 0.000022 0.000032 0.000046 0.000063 0.000085 0.000113
2025-06-15 1.118379e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000046 0.000066 0.000091 0.000125
2025-06-22 9.146374e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000045 0.000068 0.000097 0.000136
2025-06-29 7.256135e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000044 0.000068 0.000100 0.000144
2025-07-06 5.514364e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000041 0.000067 0.000101 0.000149
2025-07-13 4.359413e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000040 0.000067 0.000104 0.000157
2025-07-20 3.569311e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000040 0.000069 0.000109 0.000166
2025-07-27 2.950852e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000040 0.000070 0.000113 0.000176
2025-08-03 2.758013e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000042 0.000075 0.000123 0.000193
2025-08-10 2.167374e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000041 0.000076 0.000128 0.000204
2025-08-17 1.574015e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000040 0.000076 0.000130 0.000211
2025-08-24 1.180997e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000039 0.000077 0.000134 0.000221
2025-08-31 8.951008e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000038 0.000078 0.000138 0.000232
2025-09-07 6.828964e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000038 0.000079 0.000143 0.000243
2025-09-14 5.063398e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000038 0.000081 0.000148 0.000254
2025-09-21 3.393873e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000080 0.000150 0.000262
2025-09-28 1.968788e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000078 0.000150 0.000265
2025-10-05 1.199388e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000078 0.000152 0.000272
2025-10-12 7.682983e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000079 0.000156 0.000282
2025-10-19 4.847495e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000033 0.000080 0.000160 0.000294